Club Celaya x Cancun FC Betting tips for October 5 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
| 📅 5/10/2024 22:00 |
 Club Celaya1.74 |
X 3.46 |
Cancun FC  4.08 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Club Celaya x Cancun FC:
🔮 Club Celaya wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Club Celaya, you can win up to $870.00!
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The main points for the tip for Club Celaya x Cancun FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cancun FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. |
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Analysis from Club Celaya x Cancun FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 5 of October
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🏟️ Club Celaya X Cancun FC – Mexico Liga de Expansion |
When the best bet on Club Celaya x Cancun FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1194677 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Club Celaya x Cancun FC
Is it worth betting on Club Celaya?
🔵 Club Celaya: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 630 times – profiting $466.20;
- And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$96.20.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $541.20
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$238.80.
Is betting on Cancun FC worth it?
🔴 Cancun FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.17%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.08. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $462.00;
- And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$388.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Club Celaya x Cancun FC
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Club Celaya
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Celaya x Cancun FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Club Celaya, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Club Celaya.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Celaya x Cancun FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
