Tlaxcala FC x Oaxaca Betting tips for October 5 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Tlaxcala FC x Oaxaca, Saturday, 5/10/2024

📅 5/10/2024 22:00

Tlaxcala FC 1.70

X 3.70

Oaxaca 4.16

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Tlaxcala FC x Oaxaca:

🔮 Tlaxcala FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tlaxcala FC, you can win up to $850.00!

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The main points for the tip for Tlaxcala FC x Oaxaca: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tlaxcala FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $345.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Oaxaca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $183.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Tlaxcala FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Oaxaca, Tlaxcala FC scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 Oaxaca matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Oaxaca conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Tlaxcala FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Oaxaca. 👉 Tlaxcala FC has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Oaxaca playing at home.

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Analysis from Tlaxcala FC x Oaxaca for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 5 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tlaxcala FC x Oaxaca right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1194677 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Tlaxcala FC x Oaxaca

Should you bet on Tlaxcala FC?

🔵 Tlaxcala FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $476.00
• And would have lost other 320 times – with a loss of -$320.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$156.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $405.00;
• And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$445.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Oaxaca?

🔴 Oaxaca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.76%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.16. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $537.20;
• And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$292.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Tlaxcala FC x Oaxaca

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Tlaxcala FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tlaxcala FC x Oaxaca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Tlaxcala FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Tlaxcala FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Oaxaca.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tlaxcala FC x Oaxaca

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.