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Home ยป Predictions ยป Eredivisie ยป Heerenveen x PEC Zwolle Betting tips for October 6 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 06 October 2024, 09h30 Netherlands Eredivisie
Heerenveen Heerenveen
PREDICTION PEC Zwolle Wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
ODD: @4.33 Don't miss this prediction!

Heerenveen x PEC Zwolle Betting tips for October 6 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Heerenveen x PEC Zwolle, Sunday, 6/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 6/10/2024
09:30
Heerenveen Heerenveen
1.71
X
4.09
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
4.33

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Heerenveen x PEC Zwolle:

๐Ÿ”ฎ PEC Zwolle wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PEC Zwolle, you can win up to $2165.00!

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The main points for the tip for Heerenveen x PEC Zwolle:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Heerenveen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $354.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Heerenveen scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 PEC Zwolle matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Heerenveen x PEC Zwolle, with Heerenveen as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, PEC Zwolle conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Heerenveen x PEC Zwolle?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Heerenveen x PEC Zwolle, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Heerenveen x PEC Zwolle for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 6 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Heerenveen X PEC Zwolle – Netherlands Eredivisie
๐Ÿ“… 6 of October, 2024 – 09:30
๐Ÿ”ต Heerenveen – Winning probability: 6.17% | Fair line: 16.2
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.13% | Fair line: 8.25
๐Ÿ”ด PEC Zwolle – Winning probability: 81.70% | Fair line: 1.22
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Heerenveen
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Heerenveen x PEC Zwolle right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1195226 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Heerenveen x PEC Zwolle

Should you bet on Heerenveen?

๐Ÿ”ต Heerenveen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.71. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $42.60;
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$897.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.09. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $370.80;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$509.20.

Is it worth betting on PEC Zwolle?

๐Ÿ”ด PEC Zwolle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – profiting $2730.60;
  • And would lose other 180 times – losing -$180.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$2550.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Heerenveen x PEC Zwolle

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Heerenveen
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Heerenveen x PEC Zwolle

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Heerenveen and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Heerenveen.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Heerenveen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Heerenveen x PEC Zwolle

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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