Chelsea x Nottm Forest Betting tips for October 6 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Chelsea x Nottm Forest, Sunday, 6/10/2024

📅 6/10/2024 10:00

Chelsea 1.50

X 4.50

Nottm Forest 6.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Chelsea x Nottm Forest:

🔮 Chelsea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chelsea, you can win up to $750.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Chelsea x Nottm Forest: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chelsea in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $17.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nottm Forest in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $1210.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Chelsea scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Nottm Forest scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Chelsea matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Chelsea is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Nottm Forest has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Chelsea x Nottm Forest for the England Premier League – 6 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chelsea and Nottm Forest.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1195226 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Chelsea x Nottm Forest

Is it worth betting on Chelsea?

🔵 Chelsea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 750 times – having a profit of $375.00;
• And would have lost other 250 times – with a loss of -$250.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$125.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $665.00;
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$145.00.

Should you bet on Nottm Forest?

🔴 Nottm Forest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 70 times – profiting $350.00;
• And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$580.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Chelsea x Nottm Forest

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Chelsea
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chelsea x Nottm Forest

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Chelsea and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Chelsea.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Nottm Forest.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chelsea x Nottm Forest

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.