Aston Villa x Manchester United Betting tips for October 6 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Aston Villa x Manchester United, Sunday, 6/10/2024

📅 6/10/2024 10:00

Aston Villa 2.19

X 3.72

Manchester United 2.98

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Aston Villa x Manchester United:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Aston Villa x Manchester United: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $468.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Manchester United in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-327.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Aston Villa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Manchester United, Aston Villa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Aston Villa x Manchester United, with Aston Villa as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Aston Villa conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Manchester United. 👉 Aston Villa is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Aston Villa x Manchester United?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Aston Villa x Manchester United, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Aston Villa x Manchester United for the England Premier League – 6 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Aston Villa and Manchester United.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1195226 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aston Villa x Manchester United

Is it a good idea to bet on Aston Villa?

🔵 Aston Villa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.19. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 430 times – profiting $511.70;
• And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$58.30.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $843.20;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$153.20.

Should you bet on Manchester United?

🔴 Manchester United: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $514.80;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$225.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Aston Villa x Manchester United

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Aston Villa
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aston Villa x Manchester United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Aston Villa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Aston Villa.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Manchester United.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aston Villa x Manchester United

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.