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Home ยป Predictions ยป France Ligue 1 ยป Reims x Montpellier Betting tips for October 6 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 06 October 2024, 12h00 France Ligue 1
Reims Reims
PREDICTION Montpellier Wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Montpellier Montpellier
ODD: @3.88 Don't miss this prediction!

Reims x Montpellier Betting tips for October 6 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Reims x Montpellier, Sunday, 6/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 6/10/2024
12:00
Reims Reims
1.86
X
3.74
Montpellier Montpellier
3.88

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Reims x Montpellier:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Montpellier wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Montpellier, you can win up to $1940.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Reims x Montpellier:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Reims in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-70.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Montpellier in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Montpellier, Reims scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 9 Montpellier matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Reims x Montpellier, with Reims as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Reims conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 9 matches as the away team, Montpellier conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Reims conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Montpellier.
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Montpellier as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Reims x Montpellier for the France Ligue 1 – 6 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Reims X Montpellier – France Ligue 1
๐Ÿ“… 6 of October, 2024 – 12:00
๐Ÿ”ต Reims – Winning probability: 3.82% | Fair line: 26.2
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.86% | Fair line: 10.15
๐Ÿ”ด Montpellier – Winning probability: 86.33% | Fair line: 1.16
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Reims
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Reims and Montpellier.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1195226 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Reims x Montpellier

Should you bet on Reims?

๐Ÿ”ต Reims: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.82% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.86. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – profiting $34.40;
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$925.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $274.00
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$626.00.

Is betting on Montpellier worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Montpellier: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 86.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 860 times – profiting $2476.80;
  • And would have lost other 140 times – with a loss of -$140.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$2336.80.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Reims x Montpellier

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Reims
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Reims x Montpellier

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Reims and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Reims.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Montpellier.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Reims x Montpellier

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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