Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Eredivisie » Fortuna Sittard x AZ Betting tips for October 6 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 06 October 2024, 15h00 Netherlands Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
PREDICTION Fortuna Sittard wins Probability 17% 1 X 2
AZ AZ
ODD: @5 Don't miss this prediction!

Fortuna Sittard x AZ Betting tips for October 6 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Fortuna Sittard x AZ, Sunday, 6/10/2024
📅 6/10/2024
15:00
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
5.00
X
3.92
AZ AZ
1.63

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Fortuna Sittard x AZ:

🔮 Fortuna Sittard wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fortuna Sittard, you can win up to $2500.00!

🔮 AZ wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AZ, you can win up to $815.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Fortuna Sittard x AZ:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Fortuna Sittard in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-325.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AZ in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-54.0.
👉 In the last 6 Fortuna Sittard matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Fortuna Sittard x AZ, with Fortuna Sittard as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Fortuna Sittard conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against AZ.
👉 Even as a visitor, AZ won the last 3 head-to-head matches Fortuna Sittard´s territory

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Fortuna Sittard x AZ?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Fortuna Sittard x AZ, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Fortuna Sittard x AZ for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 6 of October

🏟️ Fortuna Sittard X AZ – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 6 of October, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Fortuna Sittard – Winning probability: 17.99% | Fair line: 5.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.61% | Fair line: 7.93
🔴 AZ – Winning probability: 69.41% | Fair line: 1.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Fortuna Sittard
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Fortuna Sittard x AZ right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1195226 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Fortuna Sittard x AZ

Should you bet on Fortuna Sittard?

🔵 Fortuna Sittard: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $720.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$100.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $379.60;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$490.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on AZ?

🔴 AZ: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 69.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.63. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 690 times – profiting $434.70;
  • And would have lost other 310 times – with a loss of -$310.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$124.70.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Fortuna Sittard x AZ

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Fortuna Sittard
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Fortuna Sittard x AZ

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Fortuna Sittard, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Fortuna Sittard.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Fortuna Sittard.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Fortuna Sittard x AZ

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters