Nice x PSG Betting tips for October 6 in France Ligue 1
| 📅 6/10/2024 15:45 |
 Nice4.00 |
X 3.80 |
PSG  1.81 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Nice x PSG:
🔮 Nice wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nice, you can win up to $2000.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Nice x PSG: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nice in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-350.0. |
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Analysis from Nice x PSG for the France Ligue 1 – 6 of October
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🏟️ Nice X PSG – France Ligue 1 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nice and PSG.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1195226 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Nice x PSG
Is betting on Nice worth it?
🔵 Nice: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
- And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$120.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 180 times – profiting $504.00;
- And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$316.00.
Is betting on PSG worth it?
🔴 PSG: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.81. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 610 times – having a profit of $494.10;
- And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$104.10, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nice x PSG
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Nice
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nice x PSG
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Nice, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Nice.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nice x PSG
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
