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Home ยป Predictions ยป Major League Soccer ยป Portland Timbers x FC Dallas Betting tips for October 6 in USA MLS
Sunday, 06 October 2024, 20h00 USA MLS
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
PREDICTION Portland Timbers wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
FC Dallas FC Dallas
ODD: @1.73 Don't miss this prediction!

Portland Timbers x FC Dallas Betting tips for October 6 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for Portland Timbers x FC Dallas, Sunday, 6/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 6/10/2024
20:00
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
1.73
X
4.10
FC Dallas FC Dallas
3.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Portland Timbers x FC Dallas:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Portland Timbers wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Portland Timbers, you can win up to $865.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Portland Timbers x FC Dallas:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Portland Timbers in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $135.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Dallas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against FC Dallas, Portland Timbers scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Portland Timbers x FC Dallas, with Portland Timbers as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Portland Timbers has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against FC Dallas playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Portland Timbers x FC Dallas?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Portland Timbers x FC Dallas, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Portland Timbers x FC Dallas for the USA MLS – 6 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Portland Timbers X FC Dallas – USA MLS
๐Ÿ“… 6 of October, 2024 – 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต Portland Timbers – Winning probability: 80.55% | Fair line: 1.24
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.60% | Fair line: 9.44
๐Ÿ”ด FC Dallas – Winning probability: 8.85% | Fair line: 11.3
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Portland Timbers
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Portland Timbers x FC Dallas is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1195687 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Portland Timbers x FC Dallas

Is it worth betting on Portland Timbers?

๐Ÿ”ต Portland Timbers: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – this would give you a profit of $591.30
  • And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$401.30.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $341.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$549.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Dallas?

๐Ÿ”ด FC Dallas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.85%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $261.00
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$649.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Portland Timbers x FC Dallas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Portland Timbers
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Portland Timbers x FC Dallas

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Portland Timbers and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Portland Timbers.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 FC Dallas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Portland Timbers x FC Dallas

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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