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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Crewe x Harrogate Town Betting tips for October 8 in England EFL Trophy
Tuesday, 08 October 2024, 15h45 England EFL Trophy
Crewe Crewe
PREDICTION Harrogate Town Wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
ODD: @3.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Crewe x Harrogate Town Betting tips for October 8 in England EFL Trophy

Our betting tip for Crewe x Harrogate Town, Tuesday, 8/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 8/10/2024
15:45
Crewe Crewe
1.85
X
3.40
Harrogate Town Harrogate Town
3.60

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Crewe x Harrogate Town:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Harrogate Town wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Harrogate Town, you can win up to $1800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Crewe x Harrogate Town:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Crewe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $333.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Harrogate Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Crewe did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Harrogate Town did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Crewe scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Crewe is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Crewe has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Harrogate Town playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Crewe x Harrogate Town?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Crewe x Harrogate Town, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Crewe x Harrogate Town for the England EFL Trophy – 8 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Crewe X Harrogate Town – England EFL Trophy
๐Ÿ“… 8 of October, 2024 – 15:45
๐Ÿ”ต Crewe – Winning probability: 1.29% | Fair line: 77.73
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.01% | Fair line: 19.97
๐Ÿ”ด Harrogate Town – Winning probability: 93.71% | Fair line: 1.07
โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Crewe
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Crewe x Harrogate Town is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1195707 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Crewe x Harrogate Town

Is betting on Crewe worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Crewe: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $8.50
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$981.50.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $120.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$830.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Harrogate Town?

๐Ÿ”ด Harrogate Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 93.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 940 times – having a profit of $2444.00;
  • And would lose other 60 times – losing -$60.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$2384.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Crewe x Harrogate Town

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Crewe
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Crewe x Harrogate Town

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Crewe and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Crewe.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Harrogate Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Crewe x Harrogate Town

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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