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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Tamworth x Gateshead Betting tips for October 8 in England National League
Tuesday, 08 October 2024, 15h45 England National League
Tamworth Tamworth
PREDICTION No tip
Gateshead Gateshead
Don't miss this prediction!

Tamworth x Gateshead Betting tips for October 8 in England National League

Our betting tip for Tamworth x Gateshead, Tuesday, 8/10/2024
πŸ“… 8/10/2024
15:45
Tamworth Tamworth
3.76
X
3.62
Gateshead Gateshead
1.82

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Tamworth x Gateshead:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Tamworth x Gateshead

Some important points for the tip for Tamworth x Gateshead:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tamworth in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $20.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gateshead in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-59.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Tamworth scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Gateshead scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Tamworth matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Tamworth conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Gateshead conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Tamworth x Gateshead for the England National League – 8 of October

🏟️ Tamworth X Gateshead – England National League
πŸ“… 8 of October, 2024 – 15:45
πŸ”΅ Tamworth – Winning probability: 29.41% | Fair line: 3.4
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.05% | Fair line: 4.34
πŸ”΄ Gateshead – Winning probability: 47.54% | Fair line: 2.1
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tamworth
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Tamworth x Gateshead is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1195707 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tamworth x Gateshead

Is betting on Tamworth worth it?

πŸ”΅ Tamworth: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $800.40;
  • And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$90.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $602.60;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$167.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gateshead?

πŸ”΄ Gateshead: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $393.60;
  • And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$126.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tamworth x Gateshead

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Tamworth
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tamworth x Gateshead

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Tamworth and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Tamworth.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Tamworth.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tamworth x Gateshead

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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