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Home » Predictions » Others » Envigado FC x Deportivo Pasto Betting tips for October 9 in Colombia Primera A
Wednesday, 09 October 2024, 18h00 Colombia Primera A
Envigado FC Envigado FC
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 42% 1 X 2
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
ODD: @2.98 Don't miss this prediction!

Envigado FC x Deportivo Pasto Betting tips for October 9 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Envigado FC x Deportivo Pasto, Wednesday, 9/10/2024
📅 9/10/2024
18:00
Envigado FC Envigado FC
3.38
X
2.98
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
2.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Envigado FC x Deportivo Pasto:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1490.00!

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The main points for the tip for Envigado FC x Deportivo Pasto:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Envigado FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pasto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $215.0.
👉 Envigado FC did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 5 Envigado FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Envigado FC x Deportivo Pasto, with Envigado FC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Envigado FC x Deportivo Pasto?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Envigado FC x Deportivo Pasto, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Envigado FC x Deportivo Pasto for the Colombia Primera A – 9 of October

🏟️ Envigado FC X Deportivo Pasto – Colombia Primera A
📅 9 of October, 2024 – 18:00
🔵 Envigado FC – Winning probability: 15.72% | Fair line: 6.36
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 42.18% | Fair line: 2.37
🔴 Deportivo Pasto – Winning probability: 42.09% | Fair line: 2.38
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Envigado FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Envigado FC x Deportivo Pasto is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1197596 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Envigado FC x Deportivo Pasto

Is betting on Envigado FC worth it?

🔵 Envigado FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – profiting $380.80;
  • And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$459.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.98. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $831.60;
  • And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$251.60.

Is it worth betting on Deportivo Pasto?

🔴 Deportivo Pasto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.09%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – profiting $525.00;
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$55.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Envigado FC x Deportivo Pasto

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Envigado FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Envigado FC x Deportivo Pasto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Envigado FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Envigado FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Deportivo Pasto.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Envigado FC x Deportivo Pasto

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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