Ecuador x Paraguay Betting tips for October 10 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
| 📅 10/10/2024 18:00 |
 Ecuador1.60 |
X 3.60 |
Paraguay  6.05 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ecuador x Paraguay:
🔮 Ecuador wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ecuador, you can win up to $800.00!
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The main points for the tip for Ecuador x Paraguay: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ecuador in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $53.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Ecuador x Paraguay?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Ecuador x Paraguay, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Ecuador x Paraguay for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 10 of October
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🏟️ Ecuador X Paraguay – South America – World Cup Qualifying |
When the best bet on Ecuador x Paraguay is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1197931 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Ecuador x Paraguay
Should you bet on Ecuador?
🔵 Ecuador: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 66.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $402.00
- And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$72.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $676.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$64.00.
Is betting on Paraguay worth it?
🔴 Paraguay: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – profiting $353.50;
- And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$576.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Ecuador x Paraguay
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Ecuador
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ecuador x Paraguay
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Ecuador and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Ecuador.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ecuador x Paraguay
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
