Columbus Crew x New England Revolution Betting tips for October 12 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for Columbus Crew x New England Revolution, Saturday, 12/10/2024

📅 12/10/2024 20:30

Columbus Crew 1.38

X 5.12

New England Revolution 6.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Columbus Crew x New England Revolution:

🔮 Columbus Crew wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Columbus Crew, you can win up to $690.00!

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Important information for your tip for Columbus Crew x New England Revolution: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Columbus Crew in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-158.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on New England Revolution in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Columbus Crew scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 New England Revolution matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Columbus Crew conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, New England Revolution conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Columbus Crew has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against New England Revolution playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for New England Revolution as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Columbus Crew x New England Revolution?

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Analysis from Columbus Crew x New England Revolution for the USA MLS – 12 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Columbus Crew x New England Revolution right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1198569 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Columbus Crew x New England Revolution

Is it worth betting on Columbus Crew?

🔵 Columbus Crew: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 88.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 890 times – profiting $338.20;
• And would lose other 110 times – having a loss of -$110.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$228.20.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.12. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $206.00
• And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$744.00.

Should you bet on New England Revolution?

🔴 New England Revolution: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $330.00;
• And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$610.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Columbus Crew x New England Revolution

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Columbus Crew
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Columbus Crew x New England Revolution

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Columbus Crew, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Columbus Crew.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 Columbus Crew.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Columbus Crew x New England Revolution

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.