Brazil x Peru Betting tips for October 16 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Brazil x Peru, Wednesday, 16/10/2024

📅 16/10/2024 00:45

Brazil 1.20

X 6.42

Peru 13.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Brazil x Peru:

🔮 Brazil wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Brazil, you can win up to $600.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Brazil x Peru: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brazil in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-364.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Peru in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-364.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Peru, Brazil scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Brazil matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Peru matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Brazil has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Peru.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Brazil x Peru?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Brazil x Peru, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Brazil x Peru for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 16 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Brazil x Peru right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1202580 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Brazil x Peru

Is it a good idea to bet on Brazil?

🔵 Brazil: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 90.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 910 times – this would give you a profit of $182.00
• And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$92.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 70 times – profiting $379.40;
• And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$550.60.

Should you bet on Peru?

🔴 Peru: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 13.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $240.00;
• And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$740.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brazil x Peru

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Brazil
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brazil x Peru

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Brazil and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Brazil.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.75 Peru.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brazil x Peru

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.