Union La Calera x Colo Colo Betting tips for October 16 in Chile Primera Division

Our betting tip for Union La Calera x Colo Colo, Wednesday, 16/10/2024

📅 16/10/2024 22:00

Union La Calera 4.60

X 3.50

Colo Colo 1.69

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Union La Calera x Colo Colo:

🔮 Colo Colo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Colo Colo, you can win up to $845.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Union La Calera x Colo Colo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Union La Calera in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $286.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Colo Colo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $65.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Union La Calera scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Union La Calera matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Union La Calera conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Colo Colo conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Union La Calera has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Colo Colo playing at home.

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Analysis from Union La Calera x Colo Colo for the Chile Primera Division – 16 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Union La Calera x Colo Colo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1202780 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Union La Calera x Colo Colo

Is betting on Union La Calera worth it?

🔵 Union La Calera: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 110 times – profiting $396.00;
• And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$494.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $475.00;
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$335.00.

Is it worth betting on Colo Colo?

🔴 Colo Colo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 70.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.69. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 700 times – this would give you a profit of $483.00
• And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$183.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Union La Calera x Colo Colo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Union La Calera
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union La Calera x Colo Colo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Union La Calera, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Union La Calera. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union La Calera x Colo Colo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.