Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia Betting tips for October 17 in Costa Rica Primera Division
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17/10/2024 02:00 |
 Alajuelense1.44 |
X 4.30 |
Municipal Liberia  5.95 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia:
๐ฎ Alajuelense wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alajuelense, you can win up to $720.00!
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The main points for the tip for Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Alajuelense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-98.0. |
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 17 of October
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๐๏ธ Alajuelense X Municipal Liberia – Costa Rica Primera Division |
When the best bet on Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1202780 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia
Is it worth betting on Alajuelense?
๐ต Alajuelense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 82.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 830 times – this would give you a profit of $365.20
- And would lose other 170 times – losing -$170.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$195.20.
Is it worth betting on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.03%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $429.00
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐ฐ-$441.00.
Is it worth betting on Municipal Liberia?
๐ด Municipal Liberia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.05%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $198.00;
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$762.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Alajuelense
โฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Alajuelense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Alajuelense.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Municipal Liberia.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alajuelense x Municipal Liberia
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
