Corinthians x Athletico Paranaense Betting tips for October 17 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Corinthians x Athletico Paranaense, Thursday, 17/10/2024

📅 17/10/2024 23:00

Corinthians 1.83

X 3.40

Athletico Paranaense 4.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Corinthians x Athletico Paranaense:

🔮 Corinthians wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Corinthians, you can win up to $915.00!

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The main points for the tip for Corinthians x Athletico Paranaense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $283.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletico Paranaense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Corinthians scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Athletico Paranaense, Corinthians scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Corinthians matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Corinthians has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Athletico Paranaense playing at home.

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Analysis from Corinthians x Athletico Paranaense for the Brazil Serie A – 17 of October

When the best bet on Corinthians x Athletico Paranaense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1202780 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Corinthians x Athletico Paranaense

Is it a good idea to bet on Corinthians?

🔵 Corinthians: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 62.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $514.60
• And would lose other 380 times – losing -$380.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$134.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$116.00.

Should you bet on Athletico Paranaense?

🔴 Athletico Paranaense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $372.00
• And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$508.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Corinthians x Athletico Paranaense

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Corinthians
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Corinthians x Athletico Paranaense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Corinthians and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Corinthians.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Corinthians.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Corinthians x Athletico Paranaense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.