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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Bucaramanga Betting tips for October 18 in Colombia Cup
Friday, 18 October 2024, 01h40 Colombia Cup
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
PREDICTION Deportivo Pasto wins Probability 56% 1 X 2
Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction!

Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Bucaramanga Betting tips for October 18 in Colombia Cup

Our betting tip for Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Bucaramanga, Friday, 18/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 18/10/2024
01:40
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
2.05
X
2.72
Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga
4.05

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Bucaramanga:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Deportivo Pasto wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Pasto, you can win up to $1025.00!

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The main points for the tip for Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Bucaramanga:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pasto in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $80.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Atletico Bucaramanga in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $705.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Atletico Bucaramanga did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Deportivo Pasto scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Atletico Bucaramanga, Deportivo Pasto scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Atletico Bucaramanga matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Atletico Bucaramanga has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Bucaramanga?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Bucaramanga:

Analysis from Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Bucaramanga for the Colombia Cup – 18 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Deportivo Pasto X Atletico Bucaramanga – Colombia Cup
๐Ÿ“… 18 of October, 2024 – 01:40
๐Ÿ”ต Deportivo Pasto – Winning probability: 56.85% | Fair line: 1.76
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.38% | Fair line: 4.1
๐Ÿ”ด Atletico Bucaramanga – Winning probability: 18.77% | Fair line: 5.33
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Deportivo Pasto
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Deportivo Pasto and Atletico Bucaramanga.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1202638 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Bucaramanga

Should you bet on Deportivo Pasto?

๐Ÿ”ต Deportivo Pasto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $598.50;
  • And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$168.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $412.80;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$347.20.

Should you bet on Atletico Bucaramanga?

๐Ÿ”ด Atletico Bucaramanga: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $579.50;
  • And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$230.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Bucaramanga

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Deportivo Pasto
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Bucaramanga

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Deportivo Pasto, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Deportivo Pasto.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Deportivo Pasto.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportivo Pasto x Atletico Bucaramanga

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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