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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป AD Guanacasteca x Deportivo Saprissa Betting tips for October 18 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Friday, 18 October 2024, 02h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
AD Guanacasteca AD Guanacasteca
PREDICTION Deportivo Saprissa Wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa
ODD: @1.74 Don't miss this prediction!

AD Guanacasteca x Deportivo Saprissa Betting tips for October 18 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for AD Guanacasteca x Deportivo Saprissa, Friday, 18/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 18/10/2024
02:00
AD Guanacasteca AD Guanacasteca
4.05
X
3.60
Deportivo Saprissa Deportivo Saprissa
1.74

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for AD Guanacasteca x Deportivo Saprissa:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Deportivo Saprissa wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Deportivo Saprissa, you can win up to $870.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for AD Guanacasteca x Deportivo Saprissa:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on AD Guanacasteca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $675.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Saprissa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, AD Guanacasteca scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ AD Guanacasteca is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Deportivo Saprissa has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from AD Guanacasteca x Deportivo Saprissa for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 18 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ AD Guanacasteca X Deportivo Saprissa – Costa Rica Primera Division
๐Ÿ“… 18 of October, 2024 – 02:00
๐Ÿ”ต AD Guanacasteca – Winning probability: 9.51% | Fair line: 10.52
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.97% | Fair line: 4.17
๐Ÿ”ด Deportivo Saprissa – Winning probability: 66.52% | Fair line: 1.5
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 AD Guanacasteca
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on AD Guanacasteca x Deportivo Saprissa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1202638 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AD Guanacasteca x Deportivo Saprissa

Is it a good idea to bet on AD Guanacasteca?

๐Ÿ”ต AD Guanacasteca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.51%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $305.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$595.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $624.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$136.00.

Is betting on Deportivo Saprissa worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Deportivo Saprissa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $495.80;
  • And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$165.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AD Guanacasteca x Deportivo Saprissa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 AD Guanacasteca
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Guanacasteca x Deportivo Saprissa

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 AD Guanacasteca, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 AD Guanacasteca. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Guanacasteca x Deportivo Saprissa

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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