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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Sarmiento x Gimnasia LP Betting tips for October 18 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Friday, 18 October 2024, 20h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Sarmiento
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
Gimnasia LP Gimnasia LP
ODD: @2.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Sarmiento x Gimnasia LP Betting tips for October 18 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Sarmiento x Gimnasia LP, Friday, 18/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 18/10/2024
20:00
Sarmiento Sarmiento
2.63
X
2.85
Gimnasia LP Gimnasia LP
2.81

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sarmiento x Gimnasia LP:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1425.00!

๐Ÿ”ฎ Gimnasia LP wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gimnasia LP, you can win up to $1405.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Sarmiento x Gimnasia LP:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sarmiento in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Gimnasia LP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $610.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 Gimnasia LP matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 road matches, Gimnasia LP has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Sarmiento x Gimnasia LP for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 18 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sarmiento X Gimnasia LP – Argentina Liga Profesional
๐Ÿ“… 18 of October, 2024 – 20:00
๐Ÿ”ต Sarmiento – Winning probability: 25.15% | Fair line: 3.98
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.59% | Fair line: 2.53
๐Ÿ”ด Gimnasia LP – Winning probability: 35.27% | Fair line: 2.84
โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sarmiento
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Sarmiento x Gimnasia LP is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1203336 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sarmiento x Gimnasia LP

Is betting on Sarmiento worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Sarmiento: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $407.50
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$342.50.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.85. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $740.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$140.00.

Should you bet on Gimnasia LP?

๐Ÿ”ด Gimnasia LP: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $633.50;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$16.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sarmiento x Gimnasia LP

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sarmiento
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sarmiento x Gimnasia LP

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Sarmiento and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Sarmiento. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sarmiento x Gimnasia LP

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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