Queretaro x Toluca Betting tips for October 19 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Queretaro x Toluca, Saturday, 19/10/2024

📅 19/10/2024 01:00

Queretaro 4.72

X 4.00

Toluca 1.59

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Queretaro x Toluca:

🔮 Toluca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Toluca, you can win up to $795.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Queretaro x Toluca: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Queretaro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $75.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Toluca in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Toluca, Queretaro scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Queretaro matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Toluca conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Queretaro has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Toluca playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Queretaro x Toluca?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Queretaro x Toluca:

Analysis from Queretaro x Toluca for the Mexico Liga MX – 19 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Queretaro x Toluca right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203336 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Queretaro x Toluca

Is it a good idea to bet on Queretaro?

🔵 Queretaro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 40 times – profiting $148.80;
• And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$811.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $210.00;
• And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$720.00.

Should you bet on Toluca?

🔴 Toluca: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 89.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.59. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 890 times – profiting $525.10;
• And would lose other 110 times – losing -$110.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$415.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Queretaro x Toluca

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Queretaro
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Queretaro x Toluca

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Queretaro, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Queretaro. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Queretaro x Toluca

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.