Portuguesa x Zamora Betting tips for October 19 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Portuguesa x Zamora, Saturday, 19/10/2024

📅 19/10/2024 20:00

Portuguesa 2.40

X 3.20

Zamora 2.91

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Portuguesa x Zamora:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Portuguesa x Zamora

Some important points for the tip for Portuguesa x Zamora: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Portuguesa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $220.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Zamora in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Portuguesa scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Zamora, Portuguesa scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Portuguesa matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Portuguesa x Zamora, with Portuguesa as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Portuguesa conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Zamora conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Portuguesa conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Zamora. 👉 Portuguesa is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Portuguesa x Zamora?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Portuguesa x Zamora, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Portuguesa x Zamora for the Venezuela Primera Division – 19 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Portuguesa x Zamora right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1202780 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Portuguesa x Zamora

Is betting on Portuguesa worth it?

🔵 Portuguesa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $364.00;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$376.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $572.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$168.00.

Is betting on Zamora worth it?

🔴 Zamora: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $916.80;
• And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$396.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Portuguesa x Zamora

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Portuguesa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Portuguesa x Zamora

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Portuguesa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Portuguesa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Zamora.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Portuguesa x Zamora

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.