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Home » Predictions » Others » Rangdajied United FC x Mawlai SC Betting tips for October 18 in India Shillong Premier League
Friday, 18 October 2024, 12h00 India Shillong Premier League
Rangdajied United FC Rangdajied United FC
PREDICTION Mawlai SC Wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Mawlai SC Mawlai SC
ODD: @2.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Rangdajied United FC x Mawlai SC Betting tips for October 18 in India Shillong Premier League

Our betting tip for Rangdajied United FC x Mawlai SC, Friday, 18/10/2024
📅 18/10/2024
12:00
Rangdajied United FC Rangdajied United FC
2.60
X
4.00
Mawlai SC Mawlai SC
2.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Rangdajied United FC x Mawlai SC:

🔮 Mawlai SC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mawlai SC, you can win up to $1050.00!

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The main points for the tip for Rangdajied United FC x Mawlai SC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Rangdajied United FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Mawlai SC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Rangdajied United FC matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Rangdajied United FC conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Mawlai SC.

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Summary

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Analysis from Rangdajied United FC x Mawlai SC for the India Shillong Premier League – 18 of October

🏟️ Rangdajied United FC X Mawlai SC – India Shillong Premier League
📅 18 of October, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 Rangdajied United FC – Winning probability: 26.59% | Fair line: 3.76
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.06% | Fair line: 4.53
🔴 Mawlai SC – Winning probability: 51.35% | Fair line: 1.95
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Rangdajied United FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Rangdajied United FC x Mawlai SC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203372 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Rangdajied United FC x Mawlai SC

Is betting on Rangdajied United FC worth it?

🔵 Rangdajied United FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $432.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$298.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.06%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $660.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.

Should you bet on Mawlai SC?

🔴 Mawlai SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $561.00
  • And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$71.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Rangdajied United FC x Mawlai SC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Rangdajied United FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rangdajied United FC x Mawlai SC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Rangdajied United FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Rangdajied United FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Mawlai SC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rangdajied United FC x Mawlai SC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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