Genoa x Bologna Betting tips for October 19 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Genoa x Bologna, Saturday, 19/10/2024

📅 19/10/2024 13:00

Genoa 2.88

X 3.21

Bologna 2.46

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Genoa x Bologna:

🔮 Bologna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bologna, you can win up to $1230.00!

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The main points for the tip for Genoa x Bologna: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Genoa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bologna in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-270.0. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Genoa x Bologna, with Genoa as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Genoa conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Bologna conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Genoa x Bologna for the Italy Serie A – 19 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Genoa x Bologna right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203336 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Genoa x Bologna

Is it a good idea to bet on Genoa?

🔵 Genoa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $432.40;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$337.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.21. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $574.60
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$165.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Bologna?

🔴 Bologna: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $730.00
• And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$230.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Genoa x Bologna

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Genoa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Genoa x Bologna

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Genoa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Genoa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Bologna.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Genoa x Bologna

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.