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Home ยป Predictions ยป Bayer Leverkusen x Eintracht Frankfurt Betting tips for October 19 in Germany Bundesliga I
Saturday, 19 October 2024, 13h30 Germany Bundesliga I
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
PREDICTION Bayer Leverkusen wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
ODD: @1.4 Don't miss this prediction!

Bayer Leverkusen x Eintracht Frankfurt Betting tips for October 19 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Bayer Leverkusen x Eintracht Frankfurt, Saturday, 19/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 19/10/2024
13:30
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
1.40
X
5.00
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
6.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bayer Leverkusen x Eintracht Frankfurt:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Bayer Leverkusen wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayer Leverkusen, you can win up to $700.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Bayer Leverkusen x Eintracht Frankfurt:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-213.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Eintracht Frankfurt in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $302.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Bayer Leverkusen scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Eintracht Frankfurt scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Eintracht Frankfurt, Bayer Leverkusen scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Eintracht Frankfurt matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Eintracht Frankfurt conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Eintracht Frankfurt is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Bayer Leverkusen has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Eintracht Frankfurt.

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Summary

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Analysis from Bayer Leverkusen x Eintracht Frankfurt for the Germany Bundesliga I – 19 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Bayer Leverkusen X Eintracht Frankfurt – Germany Bundesliga I
๐Ÿ“… 19 of October, 2024 – 13:30
๐Ÿ”ต Bayer Leverkusen – Winning probability: 80.36% | Fair line: 1.24
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.24% | Fair line: 7.55
๐Ÿ”ด Eintracht Frankfurt – Winning probability: 6.40% | Fair line: 15.62
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bayer Leverkusen
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bayer Leverkusen x Eintracht Frankfurt right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203336 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Bayer Leverkusen x Eintracht Frankfurt

Is it worth betting on Bayer Leverkusen?

๐Ÿ”ต Bayer Leverkusen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.36% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 800 times – profiting $320.00;
  • And would have lost other 200 times – with a loss of -$200.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$120.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.24% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – profiting $520.00;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$350.00.

Should you bet on Eintracht Frankfurt?

๐Ÿ”ด Eintracht Frankfurt: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $342.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$598.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Bayer Leverkusen x Eintracht Frankfurt

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bayer Leverkusen
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayer Leverkusen x Eintracht Frankfurt

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Bayer Leverkusen, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Bayer Leverkusen.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Eintracht Frankfurt.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayer Leverkusen x Eintracht Frankfurt

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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