Mainz x RB Leipzig Betting tips for October 19 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Mainz x RB Leipzig, Saturday, 19/10/2024

📅 19/10/2024 13:30

Mainz 3.85

X 3.75

RB Leipzig 1.88

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Mainz x RB Leipzig:

🔮 RB Leipzig wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on RB Leipzig, you can win up to $940.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Mainz x RB Leipzig: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-320.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on RB Leipzig in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $207.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against RB Leipzig, Mainz scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Mainz x RB Leipzig, with Mainz as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Mainz conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Mainz has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against RB Leipzig playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Mainz as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Looking for another bookie to bet on Mainz x RB Leipzig?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mainz x RB Leipzig, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Mainz x RB Leipzig for the Germany Bundesliga I – 19 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Mainz and RB Leipzig.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203336 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mainz x RB Leipzig

Is betting on Mainz worth it?

🔵 Mainz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $570.00;
• And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$230.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $522.50;
• And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$287.50.

Is betting on RB Leipzig worth it?

🔴 RB Leipzig: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 620 times – having a profit of $545.60;
• And would lose other 380 times – having a loss of -$380.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$165.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mainz x RB Leipzig

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Mainz
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mainz x RB Leipzig

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Mainz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Mainz.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Mainz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mainz x RB Leipzig

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.