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Home » Predictions » Others » KA Akureyri x IF Vestri Betting tips for October 19 in Iceland Premier League
Saturday, 19 October 2024, 14h00 Iceland Premier League
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri
PREDICTION KA Akureyri wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
IF Vestri IF Vestri
ODD: @1.67 Don't miss this prediction!

KA Akureyri x IF Vestri Betting tips for October 19 in Iceland Premier League

Our betting tip for KA Akureyri x IF Vestri, Saturday, 19/10/2024
📅 19/10/2024
14:00
KA Akureyri KA Akureyri
1.67
X
3.95
IF Vestri IF Vestri
3.95

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for KA Akureyri x IF Vestri:

🔮 KA Akureyri wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on KA Akureyri, you can win up to $835.00!

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The main points for the tip for KA Akureyri x IF Vestri:

👉 If you had bet $100 on KA Akureyri in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on IF Vestri in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, IF Vestri conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from KA Akureyri x IF Vestri for the Iceland Premier League – 19 of October

🏟️ KA Akureyri X IF Vestri – Iceland Premier League
📅 19 of October, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 KA Akureyri – Winning probability: 61.28% | Fair line: 1.63
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.08% | Fair line: 4.98
🔴 IF Vestri – Winning probability: 18.64% | Fair line: 5.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 KA Akureyri
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between KA Akureyri and IF Vestri.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203916 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for KA Akureyri x IF Vestri

Should you bet on KA Akureyri?

🔵 KA Akureyri: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.28%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – profiting $408.70;
  • And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$18.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.08%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $590.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$210.00.

Should you bet on IF Vestri?

🔴 IF Vestri: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $560.50;
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$249.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match KA Akureyri x IF Vestri

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 KA Akureyri
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KA Akureyri x IF Vestri

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 KA Akureyri, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 KA Akureyri.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 IF Vestri.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KA Akureyri x IF Vestri

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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