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Home ยป Predictions ยป Manchester United x Brentford Betting tips for October 19 in England Premier League
Saturday, 19 October 2024, 14h00 England Premier League
Manchester United Manchester United
PREDICTION Manchester United wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
Brentford Brentford
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction!

Manchester United x Brentford Betting tips for October 19 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Manchester United x Brentford, Saturday, 19/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 19/10/2024
14:00
Manchester United Manchester United
1.57
X
4.20
Brentford Brentford
5.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Manchester United x Brentford:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Manchester United wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Manchester United, you can win up to $785.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Manchester United x Brentford:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Manchester United in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-229.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Brentford in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-378.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Brentford scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Brentford, Manchester United scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Manchester United has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Brentford playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Manchester United x Brentford?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Manchester United x Brentford for the England Premier League – 19 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Manchester United X Brentford – England Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 19 of October, 2024 – 14:00
๐Ÿ”ต Manchester United – Winning probability: 67.92% | Fair line: 1.47
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.45% | Fair line: 4.09
๐Ÿ”ด Brentford – Winning probability: 7.64% | Fair line: 13.09
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Manchester United
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Manchester United x Brentford is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203336 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Manchester United x Brentford

Is it worth betting on Manchester United?

๐Ÿ”ต Manchester United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $387.60
  • And would lose other 320 times – losing -$320.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$67.60.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $768.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$8.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on Brentford worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Brentford: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $320.00;
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$600.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Manchester United x Brentford

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Manchester United
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Manchester United x Brentford

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Manchester United, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Manchester United. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Manchester United x Brentford

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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