Newcastle x Brighton Betting tips for October 19 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Newcastle x Brighton, Saturday, 19/10/2024

📅 19/10/2024 14:00

Newcastle 1.98

X 3.75

Brighton 3.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Newcastle x Brighton:

🔮 Newcastle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $990.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Newcastle x Brighton: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $248.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brighton in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $62.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Newcastle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Brighton scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Brighton, Newcastle scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Newcastle conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Brighton. 👉 Newcastle has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Brighton playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Newcastle x Brighton?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Newcastle x Brighton, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Newcastle x Brighton for the England Premier League – 19 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Newcastle x Brighton right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1203336 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Newcastle x Brighton

Is it worth betting on Newcastle?

🔵 Newcastle: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 590 times – profiting $578.20;
• And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$168.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $495.00;
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$325.00.

Is betting on Brighton worth it?

🔴 Brighton: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $563.50;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$206.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle x Brighton

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Newcastle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle x Brighton

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Newcastle and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Newcastle.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle x Brighton

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.