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Home » Predictions » Southampton x Leicester Betting tips for October 19 in England Premier League
Saturday, 19 October 2024, 14h00 England Premier League
Southampton Southampton
PREDICTION Southampton wins Probability 47% 1 X 2
Leicester Leicester
ODD: @2.29 Don't miss this prediction!

Southampton x Leicester Betting tips for October 19 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Southampton x Leicester, Saturday, 19/10/2024
📅 19/10/2024
14:00
Southampton Southampton
2.29
X
3.45
Leicester Leicester
2.90

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Southampton x Leicester:

🔮 Southampton wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Southampton, you can win up to $1145.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Southampton x Leicester:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Leicester in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Leicester, Southampton scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Southampton conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Southampton x Leicester?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Southampton x Leicester, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Southampton x Leicester for the England Premier League – 19 of October

🏟️ Southampton X Leicester – England Premier League
📅 19 of October, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Southampton – Winning probability: 47.82% | Fair line: 2.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.64% | Fair line: 4.42
🔴 Leicester – Winning probability: 29.54% | Fair line: 3.38
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Southampton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Southampton x Leicester is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203336 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Southampton x Leicester

Is it worth betting on Southampton?

🔵 Southampton: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.82% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.29. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $619.20
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$99.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $563.50;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$206.50.

Should you bet on Leicester?

🔴 Leicester: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $570.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$130.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Southampton x Leicester

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Southampton
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Southampton x Leicester

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Southampton and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Southampton.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Leicester.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Southampton x Leicester

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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