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Home ยป Predictions ยป Sparta Rotterdam x Almere City FC Betting tips for October 19 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Saturday, 19 October 2024, 14h30 Netherlands Eredivisie
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
PREDICTION Almere City FC Wins Probability 21% 1 X 2
Almere City FC Almere City FC
ODD: @5.57 Don't miss this prediction!

Sparta Rotterdam x Almere City FC Betting tips for October 19 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for Sparta Rotterdam x Almere City FC, Saturday, 19/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 19/10/2024
14:30
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
1.54
X
4.20
Almere City FC Almere City FC
5.57

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Sparta Rotterdam x Almere City FC:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Almere City FC wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Almere City FC, you can win up to $2785.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Sparta Rotterdam x Almere City FC:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sparta Rotterdam in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-317.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Almere City FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-333.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sparta Rotterdam scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Almere City FC, Sparta Rotterdam scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Sparta Rotterdam x Almere City FC, with Sparta Rotterdam as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Sparta Rotterdam conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Sparta Rotterdam conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Almere City FC.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Sparta Rotterdam x Almere City FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Sparta Rotterdam x Almere City FC:

Analysis from Sparta Rotterdam x Almere City FC for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 19 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Sparta Rotterdam X Almere City FC – Netherlands Eredivisie
๐Ÿ“… 19 of October, 2024 – 14:30
๐Ÿ”ต Sparta Rotterdam – Winning probability: 60.33% | Fair line: 1.66
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.68% | Fair line: 5.66
๐Ÿ”ด Almere City FC – Winning probability: 21.99% | Fair line: 4.55
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Sparta Rotterdam
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Sparta Rotterdam x Almere City FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1203336 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Sparta Rotterdam x Almere City FC

Is it a good idea to bet on Sparta Rotterdam?

๐Ÿ”ต Sparta Rotterdam: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 60.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 600 times – this would give you a profit of $324.00
  • And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$76.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.68% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $576.00
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$244.00.

Should you bet on Almere City FC?

๐Ÿ”ด Almere City FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $1005.40
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$225.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Sparta Rotterdam x Almere City FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Sparta Rotterdam
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sparta Rotterdam x Almere City FC

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Sparta Rotterdam and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Sparta Rotterdam.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Almere City FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sparta Rotterdam x Almere City FC

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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