Brest x Rennes Betting tips for October 19 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Brest x Rennes, Saturday, 19/10/2024

📅 19/10/2024 15:00

Brest 2.70

X 3.30

Rennes 2.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Brest x Rennes:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Brest x Rennes

Some important points for the tip for Brest x Rennes: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Brest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $298.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rennes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Brest scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Rennes scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Rennes matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Rennes conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Brest is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Rennes as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Brest x Rennes for the France Ligue 1 – 19 of October

When the best bet on Brest x Rennes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203336 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Brest x Rennes

Is it worth betting on Brest?

🔵 Brest: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – profiting $493.00;
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$217.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $667.00
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$43.00.

Is it worth betting on Rennes?

🔴 Rennes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $651.00;
• And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$71.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Brest x Rennes

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Brest
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Brest x Rennes

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Brest and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Brest.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Brest.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Brest x Rennes

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.