Vitoria x Bragantino Betting tips for October 19 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Vitoria x Bragantino, Saturday, 19/10/2024

📅 19/10/2024 19:00

Vitoria 2.27

X 3.15

Bragantino 3.17

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Vitoria x Bragantino:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Vitoria x Bragantino

Important information for your tip for Vitoria x Bragantino: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vitoria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-30.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bragantino in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Bragantino conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Vitoria x Bragantino for the Brazil Serie A – 19 of October

When the best bet on Vitoria x Bragantino is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203916 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Vitoria x Bragantino

Is betting on Vitoria worth it?

🔵 Vitoria: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 440 times – profiting $558.80;
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1.20.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $623.50
• And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$86.50.

Is betting on Bragantino worth it?

🔴 Bragantino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.17. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $585.90
• And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$144.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Vitoria x Bragantino

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Vitoria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Vitoria x Bragantino

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Vitoria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Vitoria.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Vitoria x Bragantino

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.