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Home ยป Predictions ยป PSG x Strasbourg Betting tips for October 19 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 19 October 2024, 19h00 France Ligue 1
PSG PSG
PREDICTION PSG wins Probability 95% 1 X 2
Strasbourg Strasbourg
ODD: @1.3 Don't miss this prediction!

PSG x Strasbourg Betting tips for October 19 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for PSG x Strasbourg, Saturday, 19/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 19/10/2024
19:00
PSG PSG
1.30
X
5.85
Strasbourg Strasbourg
8.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for PSG x Strasbourg:

๐Ÿ”ฎ PSG wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $650.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for PSG x Strasbourg:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $28.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Strasbourg in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Strasbourg scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Strasbourg, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between PSG x Strasbourg, with PSG as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Strasbourg conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ PSG is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 5 home matches, it had at least 62.00% of possession.
๐Ÿ‘‰ PSG is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ PSG has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Strasbourg.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on PSG x Strasbourg?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on PSG x Strasbourg, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from PSG x Strasbourg for the France Ligue 1 – 19 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ PSG X Strasbourg – France Ligue 1
๐Ÿ“… 19 of October, 2024 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต PSG – Winning probability: 95.06% | Fair line: 1.05
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.65% | Fair line: 27.4
๐Ÿ”ด Strasbourg – Winning probability: 1.29% | Fair line: 77.71
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 PSG
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for PSG x Strasbourg right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1203336 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for PSG x Strasbourg

Is it worth betting on PSG?

๐Ÿ”ต PSG: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 95.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 950 times – this would give you a profit of $285.00
  • And would lose other 50 times – having a loss of -$50.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$235.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 3.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $194.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$766.00.

Should you bet on Strasbourg?

๐Ÿ”ด Strasbourg: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 1.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – this would give you a profit of $75.00
  • And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$915.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match PSG x Strasbourg

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 PSG
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PSG x Strasbourg

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 PSG, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 PSG. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PSG x Strasbourg

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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