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Home » Predictions » Juarez FC x Leon Betting tips for October 20 in Mexico Liga MX
Sunday, 20 October 2024, 01h00 Mexico Liga MX
Juarez FC Juarez FC
PREDICTION Leon Wins Probability 41% 1 X 2
Leon Leon
ODD: @2.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Juarez FC x Leon Betting tips for October 20 in Mexico Liga MX

Our betting tip for Juarez FC x Leon, Sunday, 20/10/2024
📅 20/10/2024
01:00
Juarez FC Juarez FC
2.27
X
3.40
Leon Leon
2.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Juarez FC x Leon:

🔮 Leon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Leon, you can win up to $1375.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Juarez FC x Leon:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Juarez FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-260.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Leon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Juarez FC x Leon, with Juarez FC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Leon conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Juarez FC x Leon?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Juarez FC x Leon:

Analysis from Juarez FC x Leon for the Mexico Liga MX – 20 of October

🏟️ Juarez FC X Leon – Mexico Liga MX
📅 20 of October, 2024 – 01:00
🔵 Juarez FC – Winning probability: 31.83% | Fair line: 3.14
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.69% | Fair line: 3.75
🔴 Leon – Winning probability: 41.48% | Fair line: 2.41
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Juarez FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Juarez FC and Leon.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203336 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Juarez FC x Leon

Is it a good idea to bet on Juarez FC?

🔵 Juarez FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $406.40
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$273.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $648.00;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$82.00.

Is it worth betting on Leon?

🔴 Leon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $717.50;
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$127.50.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Juarez FC x Leon

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Juarez FC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juarez FC x Leon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Juarez FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Juarez FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Leon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juarez FC x Leon

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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