Club Celaya x Tlaxcala FC Betting tips for October 20 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
| 📅 20/10/2024 01:00 |
 Club Celaya1.33 |
X 4.40 |
Tlaxcala FC  7.00 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Club Celaya x Tlaxcala FC:
🔮 Club Celaya wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Club Celaya, you can win up to $665.00!
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The main points for the tip for Club Celaya x Tlaxcala FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Celaya in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $5.0. |
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Analysis from Club Celaya x Tlaxcala FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 20 of October
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🏟️ Club Celaya X Tlaxcala FC – Mexico Liga de Expansion |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Club Celaya x Tlaxcala FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203916 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Club Celaya x Tlaxcala FC
Is it a good idea to bet on Club Celaya?
🔵 Club Celaya: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 87.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.33. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 870 times – profiting $287.10;
- And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$157.10.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $340.00
- And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$560.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Tlaxcala FC?
🔴 Tlaxcala FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.5% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $120.00
- And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$860.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Club Celaya x Tlaxcala FC
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Club Celaya
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Celaya x Tlaxcala FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Club Celaya, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Club Celaya.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Celaya x Tlaxcala FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
