FC Dallas x Sporting Kansas City Betting tips for October 20 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for FC Dallas x Sporting Kansas City, Sunday, 20/10/2024

📅 20/10/2024 01:00

FC Dallas 1.82

X 3.90

Sporting Kansas City 3.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for FC Dallas x Sporting Kansas City:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for FC Dallas x Sporting Kansas City

The main points for the tip for FC Dallas x Sporting Kansas City: 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Dallas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-54.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sporting Kansas City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, FC Dallas scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Sporting Kansas City, FC Dallas scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 FC Dallas matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between FC Dallas x Sporting Kansas City, with FC Dallas as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, FC Dallas conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sporting Kansas City conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, FC Dallas conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Sporting Kansas City. 👉 It is not a good time for Sporting Kansas City as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on FC Dallas x Sporting Kansas City?

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Analysis from FC Dallas x Sporting Kansas City for the USA MLS – 20 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between FC Dallas and Sporting Kansas City.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203336 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Dallas x Sporting Kansas City

Is betting on FC Dallas worth it?

🔵 FC Dallas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.72%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $475.60
• And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$55.60, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $638.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$142.00.

Is betting on Sporting Kansas City worth it?

🔴 Sporting Kansas City: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $550.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$250.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Dallas x Sporting Kansas City

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 FC Dallas
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Dallas x Sporting Kansas City

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 FC Dallas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 FC Dallas. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Dallas x Sporting Kansas City

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.