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Home ยป Predictions ยป Seattle Sounders x Portland Timbers Betting tips for October 20 in USA MLS
Sunday, 20 October 2024, 01h00 USA MLS
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
PREDICTION Seattle Sounders wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
ODD: @1.64 Don't miss this prediction!

Seattle Sounders x Portland Timbers Betting tips for October 20 in USA MLS

Our betting tip for Seattle Sounders x Portland Timbers, Sunday, 20/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 20/10/2024
01:00
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
1.64
X
4.00
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
4.45

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Seattle Sounders x Portland Timbers:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Seattle Sounders wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Seattle Sounders, you can win up to $820.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Seattle Sounders x Portland Timbers:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Seattle Sounders in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-162.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Portland Timbers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Seattle Sounders scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Portland Timbers scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Portland Timbers conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Seattle Sounders x Portland Timbers?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Seattle Sounders x Portland Timbers for the USA MLS – 20 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Seattle Sounders X Portland Timbers – USA MLS
๐Ÿ“… 20 of October, 2024 – 01:00
๐Ÿ”ต Seattle Sounders – Winning probability: 65.94% | Fair line: 1.52
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.35% | Fair line: 6.12
๐Ÿ”ด Portland Timbers – Winning probability: 17.71% | Fair line: 5.65
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Seattle Sounders
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Seattle Sounders x Portland Timbers is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203336 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Seattle Sounders x Portland Timbers

Is it worth betting on Seattle Sounders?

๐Ÿ”ต Seattle Sounders: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 65.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.64. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 660 times – having a profit of $422.40;
  • And would lose other 340 times – losing -$340.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$82.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$360.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Portland Timbers?

๐Ÿ”ด Portland Timbers: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $621.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$199.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Seattle Sounders x Portland Timbers

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Seattle Sounders
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Seattle Sounders x Portland Timbers

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Seattle Sounders, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Seattle Sounders.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Portland Timbers.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Seattle Sounders x Portland Timbers

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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