Sotra x Hodd Betting tips for October 19 in Norway Division 2 Group 1
| 📅 19/10/2024 11:00 |
 Sotra2.72 |
X 3.68 |
Hodd  2.08 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Sotra x Hodd:
🔮 Tied Match
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Important information for your tip for Sotra x Hodd: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Sotra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-198.0. |
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Analysis from Sotra x Hodd for the Norway Division 2 Group 1 – 19 of October
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🏟️ Sotra X Hodd – Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Sotra x Hodd right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203916 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Sotra x Hodd
Should you bet on Sotra?
🔵 Sotra: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.72. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $395.60
- And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$374.40.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $1018.40
- And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$398.40.
Should you bet on Hodd?
🔴 Hodd: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $421.20
- And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$188.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match Sotra x Hodd
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Sotra
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Sotra x Hodd
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Sotra and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Sotra.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Sotra.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Sotra x Hodd
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
