Alcorcon B x Trival Valderas Betting tips for October 19 in Spain Tercera Group 7

Our betting tip for Alcorcon B x Trival Valderas, Saturday, 19/10/2024

📅 19/10/2024 14:00

Alcorcon B 2.60

X 3.25

Trival Valderas 2.40

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Alcorcon B x Trival Valderas:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1625.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Alcorcon B x Trival Valderas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alcorcon B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Trival Valderas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $122.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Trival Valderas, Alcorcon B scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Alcorcon B matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Alcorcon B conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Alcorcon B conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Trival Valderas. 👉 Alcorcon B has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Trival Valderas playing at home.

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Analysis from Alcorcon B x Trival Valderas for the Spain Tercera Group 7 – 19 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alcorcon B x Trival Valderas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203916 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Alcorcon B x Trival Valderas

Is betting on Alcorcon B worth it?

🔵 Alcorcon B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 360 times – profiting $576.00;
• And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$64.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.81%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 340 times – profiting $765.00;
• And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$105.00.

Is betting on Trival Valderas worth it?

🔴 Trival Valderas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
• And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$280.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Alcorcon B x Trival Valderas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Alcorcon B
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alcorcon B x Trival Valderas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Alcorcon B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Alcorcon B.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Trival Valderas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alcorcon B x Trival Valderas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.