Nakhon Pathom FC x Prachuap FC Betting tips for October 20 in Thailand Premier League

Our betting tip for Nakhon Pathom FC x Prachuap FC, Sunday, 20/10/2024

📅 20/10/2024 12:00

Nakhon Pathom FC 3.22

X 3.40

Prachuap FC 2.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Nakhon Pathom FC x Prachuap FC:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1700.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Nakhon Pathom FC x Prachuap FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nakhon Pathom FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Prachuap FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Nakhon Pathom FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Prachuap FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Nakhon Pathom FC as home team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from Nakhon Pathom FC x Prachuap FC for the Thailand Premier League – 20 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nakhon Pathom FC x Prachuap FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1204538 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Nakhon Pathom FC x Prachuap FC

Is betting on Nakhon Pathom FC worth it?

🔵 Nakhon Pathom FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $577.20;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$162.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $792.00
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$122.00.

Is it worth betting on Prachuap FC?

🔴 Prachuap FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
• And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$160.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Nakhon Pathom FC x Prachuap FC

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Nakhon Pathom FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nakhon Pathom FC x Prachuap FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Nakhon Pathom FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Nakhon Pathom FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Prachuap FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nakhon Pathom FC x Prachuap FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.