Holstein Kiel x Union Berlin Betting tips for October 20 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Holstein Kiel x Union Berlin, Sunday, 20/10/2024

📅 20/10/2024 13:30

Holstein Kiel 3.42

X 3.42

Union Berlin 2.06

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Holstein Kiel x Union Berlin:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Holstein Kiel x Union Berlin: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Holstein Kiel in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-375.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Berlin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-178.0. 👉 In the last 4 Union Berlin matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Holstein Kiel conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Holstein Kiel conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Union Berlin. 👉 It is not a good time for Holstein Kiel as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Holstein Kiel x Union Berlin?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Holstein Kiel x Union Berlin, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Holstein Kiel x Union Berlin for the Germany Bundesliga I – 20 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Holstein Kiel and Union Berlin.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1204480 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Holstein Kiel x Union Berlin

Is betting on Holstein Kiel worth it?

🔵 Holstein Kiel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $435.60
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$384.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – this would give you a profit of $895.40
• And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$265.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on Union Berlin?

🔴 Union Berlin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 45.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $477.00;
• And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$73.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Holstein Kiel x Union Berlin

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Holstein Kiel
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Holstein Kiel x Union Berlin

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Holstein Kiel, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Holstein Kiel.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Union Berlin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Holstein Kiel x Union Berlin

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.