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Home ยป Predictions ยป France Ligue 1 ยป Auxerre x Reims Betting tips for October 20 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 20 October 2024, 15h00 France Ligue 1
Auxerre Auxerre
PREDICTION Auxerre wins Probability 38% 1 X 2
Reims Reims
ODD: @2.34 Don't miss this prediction!

Auxerre x Reims Betting tips for October 20 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Auxerre x Reims, Sunday, 20/10/2024
๐Ÿ“… 20/10/2024
15:00
Auxerre Auxerre
2.34
X
3.47
Reims Reims
2.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Auxerre x Reims:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Auxerre wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Auxerre, you can win up to $1170.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Auxerre x Reims:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Auxerre in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $382.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Reims in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $245.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Reims scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Auxerre matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Reims matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Reims conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, Reims has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Auxerre x Reims for the France Ligue 1 – 20 of October

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Auxerre X Reims – France Ligue 1
๐Ÿ“… 20 of October, 2024 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Auxerre – Winning probability: 38.74% | Fair line: 2.58
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.15% | Fair line: 4.14
๐Ÿ”ด Reims – Winning probability: 37.11% | Fair line: 2.69
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Auxerre
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Auxerre x Reims right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1204480 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Auxerre x Reims

Is it a good idea to bet on Auxerre?

๐Ÿ”ต Auxerre: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $522.60;
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$87.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.47. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $592.80;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$167.20.

Should you bet on Reims?

๐Ÿ”ด Reims: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 37.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $666.00;
  • And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$36.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Auxerre x Reims

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Auxerre
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Auxerre x Reims

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Auxerre, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Auxerre.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Auxerre x Reims

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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