Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen Betting tips for October 20 in Germany Bundesliga I
📅 20/10/2024 15:30 |
Wolfsburg 2.05 |
X 3.54 |
Werder Bremen 3.40 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen:
🔮 Wolfsburg wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Wolfsburg, you can win up to $1025.00!
Some important points for the tip for Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Wolfsburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-276.0. |
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Analysis from Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen for the Germany Bundesliga I – 20 of October
🏟️ Wolfsburg X Werder Bremen – Germany Bundesliga I |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1204480 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen
Is betting on Wolfsburg worth it?
🔵 Wolfsburg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $546.00;
- And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$66.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.54. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $584.20;
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$185.80.
Is it a good idea to bet on Werder Bremen?
🔴 Werder Bremen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $624.00
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$116.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Wolfsburg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Wolfsburg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Wolfsburg.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Werder Bremen.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Wolfsburg x Werder Bremen
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.