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Home » Predictions » Cagliari x Torino Betting tips for October 20 in Italy Serie A
Sunday, 20 October 2024, 16h00 Italy Serie A
Cagliari Cagliari
PREDICTION Torino Wins Probability 38% 1 X 2
Torino Torino
ODD: @2.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Cagliari x Torino Betting tips for October 20 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Cagliari x Torino, Sunday, 20/10/2024
📅 20/10/2024
16:00
Cagliari Cagliari
2.75
X
3.20
Torino Torino
2.55

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cagliari x Torino:

🔮 Torino wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Torino, you can win up to $1275.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Cagliari x Torino:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Torino scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Cagliari conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Torino.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cagliari x Torino for the Italy Serie A – 20 of October

🏟️ Cagliari X Torino – Italy Serie A
📅 20 of October, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 Cagliari – Winning probability: 32.36% | Fair line: 3.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.78% | Fair line: 3.47
🔴 Torino – Winning probability: 38.86% | Fair line: 2.57
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cagliari
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cagliari x Torino right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1203916 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Cagliari x Torino

Is betting on Cagliari worth it?

🔵 Cagliari: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $560.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$120.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$72.00.

Should you bet on Torino?

🔴 Torino: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 38.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – profiting $604.50;
  • And would lose other 610 times – having a loss of -$610.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$5.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cagliari x Torino

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Cagliari
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cagliari x Torino

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Cagliari, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Cagliari.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cagliari x Torino

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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