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Home Β» Predictions Β» Tapatio x Cancun FC Betting tips for October 20 in Mexico Liga de Expansion
Sunday, 20 October 2024, 18h00 Mexico Liga de Expansion
Tapatio Tapatio
PREDICTION No tip
Cancun FC Cancun FC
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Tapatio x Cancun FC Betting tips for October 20 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Tapatio x Cancun FC, Sunday, 20/10/2024
πŸ“… 20/10/2024
18:00
Tapatio Tapatio
1.88
X
3.34
Cancun FC Cancun FC
3.70

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Tapatio x Cancun FC:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Tapatio x Cancun FC

Important information for your tip for Tapatio x Cancun FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Tapatio in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $128.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cancun FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Tapatio scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Cancun FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between Tapatio x Cancun FC, with Tapatio as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 Cancun FC matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Cancun FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Tapatio has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Cancun FC playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Tapatio x Cancun FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Tapatio x Cancun FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Tapatio x Cancun FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 20 of October

🏟️ Tapatio X Cancun FC – Mexico Liga de Expansion
πŸ“… 20 of October, 2024 – 18:00
πŸ”΅ Tapatio – Winning probability: 52.48% | Fair line: 1.91
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.86% | Fair line: 3.35
πŸ”΄ Cancun FC – Winning probability: 17.66% | Fair line: 5.66
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Tapatio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Tapatio x Cancun FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203916 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Tapatio x Cancun FC

Is it worth betting on Tapatio?

πŸ”΅ Tapatio: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.48% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $457.60;
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$22.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.34. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $702.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$2.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Cancun FC?

πŸ”΄ Cancun FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $486.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$334.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Tapatio x Cancun FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Tapatio
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Tapatio x Cancun FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Tapatio, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Tapatio.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Tapatio x Cancun FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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