Montpellier x Marseille Betting tips for October 20 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Montpellier x Marseille, Sunday, 20/10/2024

📅 20/10/2024 18:45

Montpellier 4.22

X 4.04

Marseille 1.73

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Montpellier x Marseille:

🔮 Marseille wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Marseille, you can win up to $865.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Montpellier x Marseille: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Montpellier in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Marseille in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $435.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Montpellier scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Marseille, Montpellier scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Montpellier conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Marseille conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Montpellier conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Marseille.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Montpellier x Marseille?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Montpellier x Marseille for the France Ligue 1 – 20 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Montpellier and Marseille.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1203916 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Montpellier x Marseille

Is betting on Montpellier worth it?

🔵 Montpellier: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $354.20;
• And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$535.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 14.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 150 times – profiting $456.00;
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$394.00.

Is it worth betting on Marseille?

🔴 Marseille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 74.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 740 times – having a profit of $540.20;
• And would have lost other 260 times – with a loss of -$260.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$280.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Montpellier x Marseille

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Montpellier
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Montpellier x Marseille

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Montpellier, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Montpellier.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Marseille.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Montpellier x Marseille

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.