Roma x Inter Milan Betting tips for October 20 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Roma x Inter Milan, Sunday, 20/10/2024

📅 20/10/2024 18:45

Roma 3.73

X 3.50

Inter Milan 1.95

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Roma x Inter Milan:

🔮 Inter Milan wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Inter Milan, you can win up to $975.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Roma x Inter Milan: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Roma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-188.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Inter Milan in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-356.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Roma scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Roma conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Inter Milan. 👉 Roma is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 60.00% of possession. 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Inter Milan has not lost any of them. 👉 Even as a visitor, Inter Milan won the last 3 head-to-head matches Roma´s territory

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Roma x Inter Milan?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Roma x Inter Milan, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Roma x Inter Milan for the Italy Serie A – 20 of October

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Roma x Inter Milan right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203916 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Roma x Inter Milan

Should you bet on Roma?

🔵 Roma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $464.10
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$365.90.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $550.00;
• And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$230.00.

Is betting on Inter Milan worth it?

🔴 Inter Milan: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 61.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 610 times – profiting $579.50;
• And would have lost other 390 times – with a loss of -$390.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$189.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Roma x Inter Milan

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Roma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Roma x Inter Milan

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Roma, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Roma.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Roma.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Roma x Inter Milan

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.