Corinthians x Flamengo Betting tips for October 20 in Copa do Brasil

Our betting tip for Corinthians x Flamengo, Sunday, 20/10/2024

📅 20/10/2024 19:00

Corinthians 2.62

X 3.15

Flamengo 2.59

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Corinthians x Flamengo:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Corinthians x Flamengo

Some important points for the tip for Corinthians x Flamengo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $185.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Flamengo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $80.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Corinthians scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Corinthians matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Corinthians has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Flamengo playing at home.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Corinthians x Flamengo?

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Analysis from Corinthians x Flamengo for the Copa do Brasil – 20 of October

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Corinthians and Flamengo.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1203916 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Corinthians x Flamengo

Is betting on Corinthians worth it?

🔵 Corinthians: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $567.00
• And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$83.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $709.50;
• And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$39.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on Flamengo?

🔴 Flamengo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.59. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $508.80;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$171.20 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Handicaps analysis for the match Corinthians x Flamengo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Corinthians
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Corinthians x Flamengo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Corinthians and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Corinthians.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Corinthians x Flamengo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.